Andrew Kuchling<p>Recently I read AI SNAKE OIL: WHAT ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CAN DO, WHAT IT CAN'T, AND HOW TO TELL THE DIFFERENCE, by Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor.</p><p>The authors are a computer science professor and graduate student at Princeton, and they take a measured look at the current AI boom. They argue that predictive AI is largely a failure and faces inherent limits; systems to predict academic or social outcomes don't have enough data to work, and these situations probably hinge too narrowly on small changes (an accident, a random helpful encounter) to be predicted.</p><p>AI-based content moderation also mostly doesn't work. It's unable to keep up with how language and conversations change; posters can use euphemisms like "unalive" to mean "kill" or "dead", and codewords to replace a word like "vaccines" in sentences like "I'm not getting my kids any cupcakes". (Though they seem much too forgiving about Big Tech's reluctance to use human moderators -- in its most recent quarter, Meta/Facebook has $28B in profits, a fraction of which could hire a lot of people.)</p><p>The authors think generative AI is more likely to be useful, especially when it'll be overseen or checked by a human, and close with chapters on the ways reporting on AI is bad (too much reporting from press releases and CEO statements, too little verification of claims) and on the likely path forward. They suggest judicious regulation could support beneficial use of AI... but of course, we're not going to get any such thing from the Trump administration.</p><p><a href="https://dmv.community/tags/books" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>books</span></a> <a href="https://dmv.community/tags/bookstodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>bookstodon</span></a> <a href="https://dmv.community/tags/ArtificialIntelligence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ArtificialIntelligence</span></a> <a href="https://dmv.community/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AI</span></a> <a href="https://dmv.community/tags/computing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>computing</span></a></p>